Bitcoin shows signs of strain amid heavy overhead BTC price resistance and overheated funding rates.
BTC $51,331 threatened a breakdown from its trading range at the Feb. 21 Wall Street open as resistance stayed firmly in place.
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView
ETFs no silver bullet for Bitcoin bull market
After hitting new 26-month highs of $53,000, Bitcoin saw immediate sell-side pressure — even familiar sources of support, such as anticipation of buyer interest in the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), failed to lift the mood.
Responding, popular trader Crypto Chase highlighted Bitcoin getting to grips with the so-called fair value gap (FVG) on daily timeframes, as viewed from Fibonacci retracement levels.
“Looks ugly, but I’ve seen Bitcoin recover from worse,” part of an accompanying commentary on X (formerly Twitter) read.
Summarizing his latest video update, Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, stressed that even ETF inflows could not be relied upon as a foolproof way of buoying the market.
“Midway through the week we are seeing the BTC W candle slip into red territory,” he wrote.
“There is certainly plenty of time for it to recover, and the massive amount of BTC ETF inflows should help mitigate some of the downside, but the fact that we are seeing this pullback despite the ETF demand indicates 2 things: 1. Even in the ETF era of Bitcoin, ‘Up Only’ isn’t a thing. 2. BTC Whales are selling into the ETF demand.”
Commenting on the status quo, however, popular trader Daan Crypto Trades called for calm.
Usually sentiment follows price. If sentiment precedes price without it actually following through, it’s often a reason to pay attention,” he wrote in part of a recent X update.
“There’s something to say for both directions here but I do feel like the bearish sentiment is getting a bit ahead of itself as we’ve just been ranging for the last week or so without a clear break. Just wait for confirmation towards either side.”
Nvidia earnings may spark “frothy week”
Continuing, trading firm QCP Capital attributed BTC price weakness in part to high funding rates.
“Funding at these levels is typically difficult to sustain which means there could be a pullback in price after such a strong move higher,” it wrote in its latest market update sent to Telegram channel subscribers on the day.
Bitcoin funding rates (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
QCP noted an upcoming source of potential volatility for risk assets in the form of earnings from tech giant Nvidia, these due after the U.S. close.
“NVDA is currently trading at 90x P/E and Q4 earnings expectations have been adjusted higher recently,” it explained.
“At these valuation multiples and high expectations on earnings, any disappointment could see a sell-off. That would certainly put a drag on US equities and crypto prices as well.”
Nvidia (NVDA) 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
Daan Crypto Trades likewise assigned significance to the earnings report.
“If they beat bigly and price just goes up hard we can prepare for some volatile & frothy next week or two throughout most markets I think,” part of his own X forecast read.
“Would prefer to see it cool off a bit so the markets don’t get overheated too quickly.”